Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: UNIA II SKIERNIEWICE SP. Z.O.O. zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,8 pkt (od 64 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: JUVENIA Wysokienice (97%), WIDOK Skierniewice (58%), JUTRZENKA Drzewce (57%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNIA II SKIERNIEWICE SP. Z.O.O. | 75,8 ± 5,2 | 64–85 | 89% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Start Brzeziny | 61,5 ± 6,8 | 48–74 | 6% | 67% | 0% |
| 3 | MAZOVIA Rawa Mazowiecka | 58,9 ± 7,1 | 44–72 | 3% | 50% | 0% |
| 4 | LUKS WITONIANKA Witonia | 55,1 ± 6,9 | 41–68 | 1% | 30% | 0% |
| 5 | POGOŃ Bełchów | 54,8 ± 7,1 | 41–69 | 1% | 28% | 0% |
| 6 | UKS SMS Łódź | 50,2 ± 6,9 | 37–63 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | ORLĘTA Cielądz | 49,8 ± 7,4 | 35–64 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS Gałkówek | 43,5 ± 7,3 | 30–58 | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| 9 | SAP ANDRESPOLIA | 42,6 ± 6,9 | 29–56 | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| 10 | OLIMPIA Chąśno | 42,5 ± 7,0 | 29–56 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 11 | KKS Koluszki | 37,4 ± 6,7 | 25–51 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | LAKTOZA Łyszkowice | 29,3 ± 6,7 | 17–44 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 13 | GKS Korona Łaguszew | 25,8 ± 6,2 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 51% |
| 14 | JUTRZENKA Drzewce | 24,6 ± 7,1 | 12–39 | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 15 | WIDOK Skierniewice | 24,6 ± 6,2 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 58% |
| 16 | JUVENIA Wysokienice | 14,7 ± 5,1 | 7–26 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIA II SKIERNIEWICE SP. Z.O.O. | 89% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Start Brzeziny | 6% | 36% | 25% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MAZOVIA Rawa Mazowiecka | – | 25% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LUKS WITONIANKA Witonia | – | 11% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POGOŃ Bełchów | – | 12% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS SMS Łódź | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORLĘTA Cielądz | – | – | 7% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Gałkówek | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| SAP ANDRESPOLIA | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| OLIMPIA Chąśno | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| KKS Koluszki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 12% | 18% | 26% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – |
| LAKTOZA Łyszkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 10% | – |
| GKS Korona Łaguszew | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 18% | 7% |
| JUTRZENKA Drzewce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 27% | 9% |
| WIDOK Skierniewice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 25% | 8% |
| JUVENIA Wysokienice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | 73% |