Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Graf Chodywańce zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 76,1 pkt (od 63 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Huczwa Tyszowce (69%), Olimpiakos Tarnogród (64%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Graf Chodywańce | 76,1 ± 6,2 | 63–87 | 93% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Gryf Gmina Zamość | 58,6 ± 6,7 | 45–71 | 2% | 57% | 0% |
| 3 | Tanew Majdan Stary | 58,3 ± 7,0 | 44–71 | 2% | 53% | 0% |
| 4 | Sokół Zwierzyniec | 53,9 ± 7,2 | 39–67 | 1% | 29% | 0% |
| 5 | Igros Krasnobród | 53,5 ± 7,3 | 39–67 | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 6 | Omega Stary Zamość | 49,4 ± 7,3 | 35–63 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 7 | Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | 49,0 ± 7,2 | 35–63 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 8 | BKS Bodaczów | 48,2 ± 7,4 | 34–63 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 9 | Korona Łaszczów | 37,1 ± 7,0 | 24–51 | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 10 | Kryształ Werbkowice | 35,2 ± 6,7 | 23–49 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 11 | Błękitni Obsza | 34,9 ± 7,2 | 21–50 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | Huragan Hrubieszów | 32,4 ± 6,8 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 13 | Andoria Mircze | 31,8 ± 6,7 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 14 | Sparta Łabunie | 24,1 ± 6,2 | 13–37 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| 15 | Olimpiakos Tarnogród | 21,1 ± 6,0 | 11–34 | 0% | 0% | 64% |
| 16 | Huczwa Tyszowce | 19,6 ± 6,2 | 9–32 | 0% | 0% | 69% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graf Chodywańce | 93% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gryf Gmina Zamość | – | 32% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Tanew Majdan Stary | – | 28% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Zwierzyniec | – | 11% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Igros Krasnobród | – | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Omega Stary Zamość | – | – | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pogoń 96 Łaszczówka | – | – | 8% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BKS Bodaczów | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Korona Łaszczów | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – |
| Kryształ Werbkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | – | – |
| Błękitni Obsza | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 7% | – | – |
| Huragan Hrubieszów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | – |
| Andoria Mircze | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 6% | – |
| Sparta Łabunie | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 17% |
| Olimpiakos Tarnogród | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 18% | 31% | 33% |
| Huczwa Tyszowce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 24% | 45% |