Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KORONA WSCHOWA zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,9 pkt (od 66 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze KORMORAN SŁAWA (14%), KORONA II KOŻUCHÓW (15%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KORONA WSCHOWA | 75,9 ± 4,9 | 66–84 | 64% | 96% | 0% |
| 2 | KORMORAN SŁAWA | 69,4 ± 5,5 | 58–79 | 14% | 71% | 0% |
| 3 | KORONA II KOŻUCHÓW | 69,5 ± 5,6 | 58–80 | 15% | 69% | 0% |
| 4 | BŁĘKITNI LUBIĘCIN | 66,8 ± 6,0 | 54–78 | 7% | 48% | 0% |
| 5 | MIESZKO KONOTOP | 58,7 ± 5,9 | 47–70 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 6 | DĄB SŁAWA-PRZYBYSZÓW | 57,5 ± 6,2 | 45–69 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 7 | POLONIA KIEŁCZ | 54,1 ± 6,0 | 42–66 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 8 | ORZEŁ OTYŃ | 47,9 ± 7,0 | 34–61 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | IKAR KRZEPIELÓW | 36,1 ± 6,5 | 25–50 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | CZARNI II RUDNO | 33,4 ± 5,7 | 23–46 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | TOPOLA ŁUPICE | 33,4 ± 5,8 | 22–45 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | MKS II NOWE MIASTECZKO | 31,2 ± 6,1 | 20–44 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | MODRZEW MODRZYCA | 25,0 ± 6,1 | 13–37 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 14 | ZORZA NOWE ŻABNO | 17,4 ± 5,2 | 8–28 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| 15 | IRMA STUDZIENIEC | 8,5 ± 4,1 | 2–17 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
| 16 | BŁĘKITNI WIERZBNICA | 6,3 ± 3,7 | 1–15 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KORONA WSCHOWA | 64% | 23% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KORMORAN SŁAWA | 14% | 29% | 28% | 18% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KORONA II KOŻUCHÓW | 15% | 26% | 28% | 20% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI LUBIĘCIN | 7% | 19% | 21% | 28% | 15% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MIESZKO KONOTOP | – | – | 6% | 14% | 27% | 27% | 19% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| DĄB SŁAWA-PRZYBYSZÓW | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | 27% | 22% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA KIEŁCZ | – | – | – | – | 13% | 24% | 31% | 21% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ OTYŃ | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 22% | 44% | 12% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| IKAR KRZEPIELÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 30% | 23% | 18% | 11% | – | – | – | – |
| CZARNI II RUDNO | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 8% | – | – | – |
| TOPOLA ŁUPICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 9% | – | – | – |
| MKS II NOWE MIASTECZKO | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 16% | – | – | – |
| MODRZEW MODRZYCA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 19% | 44% | 16% | – | – |
| ZORZA NOWE ŻABNO | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16% | 64% | 11% | – |
| IRMA STUDZIENIEC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 56% | 32% |
| BŁĘKITNI WIERZBNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 65% |