Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Karpaty Siepraw zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 76,8 pkt (od 63 do 88 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze Hejnał Krzyszkowice (16%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Siepraw | 76,8 ± 6,6 | 63–88 | 58% | 89% | 0% |
| 2 | Hejnał Krzyszkowice | 69,6 ± 7,5 | 54–83 | 16% | 60% | 0% |
| 3 | Lubomir Wiśniowa | 66,4 ± 6,7 | 52–79 | 8% | 41% | 0% |
| 4 | Elektron Dobczyce | 64,3 ± 8,1 | 48–79 | 7% | 31% | 0% |
| 5 | Zielonka Wrząsowice | 64,1 ± 7,4 | 49–78 | 5% | 30% | 0% |
| 6 | Sęp Droginia | 62,9 ± 7,9 | 47–78 | 4% | 27% | 0% |
| 7 | Staw Polanka | 61,1 ± 7,4 | 46–75 | 2% | 18% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS Mogilany | 51,6 ± 7,8 | 36–67 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 9 | Iskra Głogoczów | 51,2 ± 7,6 | 36–66 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 10 | Sokół Borzęta | 37,9 ± 8,0 | 23–54 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | Jordan II Zakliczyn | 37,6 ± 7,7 | 23–53 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 12 | Radwan Skomielna Czarna | 36,1 ± 8,0 | 22–53 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | Rokita Kornatka | 35,9 ± 7,9 | 21–52 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 14 | Grodzisko Raciechowice | 24,8 ± 7,0 | 12–40 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 15 | Cyrhla Krzczonów | 19,0 ± 6,9 | 7–33 | 0% | 0% | 70% |
| 16 | Jawor Jawornik | 16,9 ± 6,5 | 6–31 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
| 17 | Iskra Brzączowice | 9,3 ± 5,1 | 1–21 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 17 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty Siepraw | 58% | 20% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hejnał Krzyszkowice | 16% | 26% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Lubomir Wiśniowa | 8% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Elektron Dobczyce | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zielonka Wrząsowice | – | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sęp Droginia | – | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Staw Polanka | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Mogilany | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Głogoczów | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 12% | 23% | 26% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Borzęta | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Jordan II Zakliczyn | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Radwan Skomielna Czarna | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 9% | – | – | – |
| Rokita Kornatka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 10% | – | – | – |
| Grodzisko Raciechowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 16% | 34% | 24% | 10% | – |
| Cyrhla Krzczonów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 19% | 33% | 26% | 12% |
| Jawor Jawornik | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 25% | 43% | 14% |
| Iskra Brzączowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 20% | 72% |