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Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: KS Cracovia II SA zostaje liderem po jesieni w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 39,3 pkt (od 34 do 43 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS Cracovia II SA | 39,3 ± 2,6 | 34–43 | 94% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Victoria Jaworzno | 32,2 ± 2,6 | 28–37 | 4% | 54% | 0% |
| 3 | Bruk-Bet Termalica II Nieciecza | 31,3 ± 2,7 | 26–36 | 1% | 53% | 0% |
| 4 | Dalin Myślenice | 31,3 ± 2,5 | 27–36 | 2% | 44% | 0% |
| 5 | Glinik Gorlice | 30,0 ± 2,6 | 25–35 | 0% | 32% | 0% |
| 6 | Orzeł Ryczów | 27,8 ± 2,7 | 23–34 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 7 | Hutnik II Kraków | 27,2 ± 2,7 | 22–33 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 8 | Wolania Wola Rzędzińska | 25,9 ± 2,6 | 21–31 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 9 | Pcimianka Pcim | 25,9 ± 2,6 | 21–31 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | Beskid Andrychów | 25,2 ± 2,7 | 19–30 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | Lubań Maniowy | 22,0 ± 2,6 | 18–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | BKS Hal-Mont Bochnia | 21,8 ± 2,7 | 17–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | Kalwarianka Kalwaria Zebrzydowska | 21,0 ± 2,7 | 15–26 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 14 | Unia Tarnów | 21,1 ± 2,5 | 16–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 15 | MKS Limanovia w Limanowej | 16,8 ± 2,6 | 12–22 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 16 | Poprad Muszyna | 12,6 ± 2,5 | 8–18 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
| 17 | Watra Białka Tatrzańska | 8,0 ± 2,6 | 4–13 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | Błękitni Modlnica | 7,2 ± 2,7 | 3–13 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS Cracovia II SA | 94% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Victoria Jaworzno | – | 29% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Bruk-Bet Termalica II Nieciecza | – | 30% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dalin Myślenice | – | 18% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Glinik Gorlice | – | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Ryczów | – | – | 6% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Hutnik II Kraków | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wolania Wola Rzędzińska | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Pcimianka Pcim | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Beskid Andrychów | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Lubań Maniowy | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16% | – | – | – | – |
| BKS Hal-Mont Bochnia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 5% | – | – | – |
| Kalwarianka Kalwaria Zebrzydowska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Unia Tarnów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 25% | 7% | – | – | – |
| MKS Limanovia w Limanowej | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% | 62% | 15% | – | – |
| Poprad Muszyna | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 67% | 14% | – |
| Watra Białka Tatrzańska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 44% | 46% |
| Błękitni Modlnica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 41% | 53% |