Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BRZEZINA OSIEK zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 80,5 pkt (od 69 do 90 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: HURAGAN INWAŁD (59%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnie miejsce) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRZEZINA OSIEK | 80,5 ± 5,1 | 69–90 | 97% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | D&R Unia Oświęcim | 61,4 ± 6,7 | 48–74 | 2% | 76% | 0% |
| 3 | OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | 54,7 ± 7,4 | 40–69 | 0% | 41% | 0% |
| 4 | BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | 53,0 ± 7,1 | 39–66 | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 5 | LKS Gorzów | 51,3 ± 7,0 | 38–65 | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | 48,2 ± 7,0 | 34–62 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS RAJSKO | 47,8 ± 7,0 | 34–61 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 8 | ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | 46,7 ± 7,0 | 33–60 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 9 | KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | 43,1 ± 6,9 | 30–56 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 10 | SKAWA WADOWICE | 39,3 ± 6,8 | 26–52 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | HALNIAK TARGANICE | 37,7 ± 6,8 | 25–52 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 12 | NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | 36,6 ± 7,0 | 23–51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | 29,5 ± 6,7 | 17–44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 14 | LKS Poręba Wielka | 25,3 ± 7,0 | 12–39 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 15 | BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | 13,3 ± 5,4 | 4–25 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 16 | HURAGAN INWAŁD | 11,3 ± 5,2 | 3–23 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRZEZINA OSIEK | 97% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| D&R Unia Oświęcim | – | 52% | 21% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OLIMPIA CHOCZNIA | – | 18% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BABIA GÓRA SUCHA BESKIDZKA | – | 11% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Gorzów | – | 7% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS HALNIAK MAKÓW PODHALAŃSKI | – | – | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS RAJSKO | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŻURAW KRZESZÓW | – | – | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KALWARIANKA II KALWARIA ZEBRZ | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| SKAWA WADOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – |
| HALNIAK TARGANICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 13% | – | – | – |
| NAROŻE JUSZCZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 5% | – | – |
| TĘCZA TENCZYNEK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 17% | 34% | 26% | – | – |
| LKS Poręba Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 23% | 47% | 10% | – |
| BYSTRA PODHALAŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 52% | 38% |
| HURAGAN INWAŁD | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 34% | 59% |