Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: RKS Mazur Radzymin zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 41,4 pkt (od 39 do 42 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKS Mazur Radzymin | 41,4 ± 1,2 | 39–42 | 99% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | EsKadra Warszawa | 35,6 ± 2,3 | 30–38 | 1% | 97% | 0% |
| 3 | Advit Wiązowna | 33,7 ± 2,4 | 29–37 | 0% | 92% | 0% |
| 4 | UKS ORŁY ZIELONKA | 28,7 ± 2,9 | 23–34 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 5 | KS Delta Warszawa | 27,6 ± 2,2 | 23–30 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 6 | UKS Talent II Warszawa | 26,1 ± 2,7 | 21–31 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7 | MKS Ząbkovia II Ząbki | 23,5 ± 2,6 | 18–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | MLKS Victoria II Sulejówek | 23,4 ± 2,4 | 20–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | KS Legionovia II Legionowo | 20,1 ± 2,3 | 15–24 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS Grom Warszawa | 16,9 ± 2,8 | 11–23 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | Świt II Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki | 16,2 ± 2,6 | 13–22 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | ŚLIMAK HALINÓW | 13,2 ± 2,4 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 13 | AP Agape Białołęka | 12,5 ± 2,3 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 14 | KS Wesoła | 12,4 ± 2,5 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 15 | KS MADZIAR NIEPORĘT | 7,3 ± 1,7 | 5–11 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
| 16 | SS HUTNIK II W-WA SP. Z O.O. | 6,2 ± 1,6 | 5–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKS Mazur Radzymin | 99% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| EsKadra Warszawa | – | 69% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Advit Wiązowna | – | 30% | 62% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS ORŁY ZIELONKA | – | – | 6% | 42% | 22% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Delta Warszawa | – | – | – | 29% | 42% | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS Talent II Warszawa | – | – | – | 16% | 19% | 29% | 20% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS Ząbkovia II Ząbki | – | – | – | – | 8% | 21% | 33% | 23% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MLKS Victoria II Sulejówek | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 25% | 35% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Legionovia II Legionowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 17% | 47% | 21% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Grom Warszawa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | 36% | 22% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – |
| Świt II Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 23% | 34% | 20% | 11% | – | – | – |
| ŚLIMAK HALINÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 24% | 33% | 18% | – | – |
| AP Agape Białołęka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 25% | 27% | 29% | – | – |
| KS Wesoła | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 21% | 43% | 5% | – |
| KS MADZIAR NIEPORĘT | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 60% | 34% |
| SS HUTNIK II W-WA SP. Z O.O. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 66% |