Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 72,8 pkt (od 60 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KS IPRIME BOGACICA (100%), LZS ŻYTNIÓW (87%), LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA (86%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE | 72,8 ± 5,7 | 60–82 | 78% | 96% | 0% |
| 2 | KS II KRASIEJÓW | 60,2 ± 6,5 | 47–72 | 6% | 44% | 0% |
| 3 | NKS START II NAMYSŁÓW | 60,1 ± 6,7 | 47–73 | 5% | 43% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS SOKOŁY BIERDZANY | 59,0 ± 7,0 | 45–72 | 4% | 36% | 0% |
| 5 | OKS II OLESNO | 58,5 ± 6,8 | 44–71 | 3% | 35% | 0% |
| 6 | LKS NAPRZÓD JEMIELNICA | 56,2 ± 7,0 | 43–70 | 2% | 23% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS BUDOWLANI STROJEC | 55,9 ± 6,9 | 42–69 | 2% | 23% | 0% |
| 8 | KS START DOBRODZIEŃ | 45,0 ± 7,1 | 31–58 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS II STAROŚCIN-MIEJSCE | 41,9 ± 7,3 | 28–56 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 10 | LMKS PIAST GORZÓW ŚLĄSKI | 37,7 ± 7,4 | 24–53 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 11 | LZS CHOCIANOWICE | 35,9 ± 6,8 | 23–50 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | LZS POLANOWICE | 33,5 ± 7,0 | 21–47 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 13 | LZS USZYCE | 31,0 ± 6,2 | 19–44 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 14 | LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA | 19,9 ± 5,2 | 11–32 | 0% | 0% | 86% |
| 15 | LZS ŻYTNIÓW | 18,5 ± 5,5 | 9–30 | 0% | 0% | 87% |
| 16 | KS IPRIME BOGACICA | 2,9 ± 2,8 | 0–9 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS UNIA KOLONOWSKIE | 78% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS II KRASIEJÓW | 6% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| NKS START II NAMYSŁÓW | 5% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS SOKOŁY BIERDZANY | – | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OKS II OLESNO | – | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS NAPRZÓD JEMIELNICA | – | 9% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS BUDOWLANI STROJEC | – | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS START DOBRODZIEŃ | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS II STAROŚCIN-MIEJSCE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – |
| LMKS PIAST GORZÓW ŚLĄSKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – |
| LZS CHOCIANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 13% | – | – | – |
| LZS POLANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 7% | – | – |
| LZS USZYCE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 9% | – | – |
| LKS MKS POLONIA LIGOTA WOŁCZYŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 44% | 41% | – |
| LZS ŻYTNIÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 33% | 53% | – |
| KS IPRIME BOGACICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 99% |