Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 78,6 pkt (od 69 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA (63%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnie miejsce) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. | 78,6 ± 3,9 | 69–84 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Klimkówka Karpaty | 50,5 ± 7,1 | 36–64 | 0% | 51% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS Górki | 48,2 ± 6,6 | 35–60 | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 4 | Wzdów | 47,7 ± 6,9 | 34–61 | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 5 | LUKS Burza Rogi | 47,5 ± 7,2 | 33–62 | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 6 | Zręcin Tęcza | 43,4 ± 7,1 | 30–57 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 7 | Haczów | 43,2 ± 7,2 | 29–57 | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 8 | LKS Płomień Zmiennica | 39,7 ± 6,7 | 27–53 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 9 | Korczyna Kotwica | 38,2 ± 7,3 | 24–53 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 10 | Lubatowa | 30,8 ± 6,8 | 19–45 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 11 | Domaradz Sokół | 29,4 ± 6,9 | 16–43 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | Głowienka | 28,9 ± 6,8 | 17–42 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 13 | Iskra Przysietnica | 28,7 ± 6,8 | 16–43 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 14 | Lubatówka | 25,0 ± 6,6 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 15 | LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA | 17,5 ± 5,9 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KKS Karpaty Krosno Sp. z o.o. | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Klimkówka Karpaty | – | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Górki | – | 18% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wzdów | – | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LUKS Burza Rogi | – | 18% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zręcin Tęcza | – | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Haczów | – | 7% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Płomień Zmiennica | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| Korczyna Kotwica | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Lubatowa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 10% | – |
| Domaradz Sokół | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 5% |
| Głowienka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 5% |
| Iskra Przysietnica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 6% |
| Lubatówka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 17% |
| LUKS BESKID POSADA GÓRNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 19% | 63% |