Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Crasnovia Krasne zostaje mistrzem w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 80,5 pkt (od 73 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Polonia Hyżne (81%), KS Pawłokoma (62%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crasnovia Krasne | 80,5 ± 3,0 | 73–84 | 99% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Iskra Jawornik Polski | 63,9 ± 6,2 | 51–75 | 1% | 92% | 0% |
| 3 | Dynovia Dynów | 55,5 ± 6,7 | 42–68 | 0% | 57% | 0% |
| 4 | Astra Medynia Głogowska | 51,7 ± 6,9 | 38–65 | 0% | 31% | 0% |
| 5 | Sawa Sonina | 44,8 ± 6,5 | 32–58 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 6 | Stal II Łańcut | 43,4 ± 6,5 | 31–56 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | KS Dąbrówki | 42,1 ± 6,9 | 28–55 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 8 | Stobierna Krzywe | 41,2 ± 6,8 | 28–55 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | Jawor Krzemienica | 37,3 ± 7,0 | 24–51 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | Markovia Markowa | 33,3 ± 6,9 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | Grodziszczanka Grodzisko Dln. | 32,2 ± 7,1 | 19–46 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 12 | Plantator Nienadówka | 25,5 ± 6,6 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 13 | Grom Handzlówka | 20,0 ± 6,4 | 8–34 | 0% | 0% | 41% |
| 14 | KS Pawłokoma | 17,0 ± 5,8 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 62% |
| 15 | Polonia Hyżne | 13,5 ± 5,3 | 4–25 | 0% | 0% | 81% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crasnovia Krasne | 99% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Jawornik Polski | – | 73% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dynovia Dynów | – | 17% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Astra Medynia Głogowska | – | 6% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sawa Sonina | – | – | 6% | 12% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stal II Łańcut | – | – | – | 10% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Dąbrówki | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stobierna Krzywe | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| Jawor Krzemienica | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – |
| Markovia Markowa | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 11% | 5% | – | – |
| Grodziszczanka Grodzisko Dln. | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 7% | – | – |
| Plantator Nienadówka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 32% | 20% | 10% | – |
| Grom Handzlówka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 15% |
| KS Pawłokoma | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 24% | 33% | 28% |
| Polonia Hyżne | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 26% | 55% |