Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: AP II Kowale zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 61,3 pkt (od 50 do 70 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze Chełmianka Gdańsk (31%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia 3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AP II Kowale | 61,3 ± 5,0 | 50–70 | 63% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | Chełmianka Gdańsk | 57,8 ± 6,4 | 44–69 | 31% | 92% | 0% |
| 3 | KS Sulmin | 48,9 ± 6,7 | 35–62 | 4% | 54% | 0% |
| 4 | Olimpia Osowa | 45,6 ± 6,5 | 32–57 | 1% | 35% | 0% |
| 5 | Gedania III Gdańsk | 43,3 ± 6,8 | 30–56 | 0% | 21% | 0% |
| 6 | Morena Gdańsk | 28,0 ± 6,5 | 16–41 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 7 | Orlik II Przodkowo | 28,0 ± 6,3 | 16–40 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 8 | KS Klukowo 82 Gdańsk | 25,3 ± 6,6 | 14–39 | 0% | 0% | 26% |
| 9 | GKS Żukowo | 24,0 ± 6,4 | 13–37 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 10 | Jaguar IV Gdańsk AP | 23,9 ± 6,9 | 11–38 | 0% | 0% | 37% |
| 11 | TLG II | 23,5 ± 6,1 | 12–36 | 0% | 0% | 34% |
| 12 | Zatoka Gdańsk | 21,0 ± 5,4 | 11–32 | 0% | 0% | 55% |
| 13 | KP FPT Banino | 16,0 ± 5,9 | 6–29 | 0% | 0% | 82% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 13 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AP II Kowale | 63% | 28% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Chełmianka Gdańsk | 31% | 44% | 17% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Sulmin | – | 16% | 33% | 27% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Olimpia Osowa | – | 8% | 26% | 33% | 24% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gedania III Gdańsk | – | – | 16% | 29% | 37% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Morena Gdańsk | – | – | – | – | 6% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | – |
| Orlik II Przodkowo | – | – | – | – | 5% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | – |
| KS Klukowo 82 Gdańsk | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 5% |
| GKS Żukowo | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 8% |
| Jaguar IV Gdańsk AP | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 8% |
| TLG II | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% |
| Zatoka Gdańsk | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 13% |
| KP FPT Banino | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 19% | 51% |