Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: LKS 07 MARKOWICE zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 38,5 pkt (od 33 do 41 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS 07 MARKOWICE | 38,5 ± 2,4 | 33–41 | 96% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | TS GÓRNIK PSZÓW | 31,4 ± 2,8 | 25–36 | 3% | 79% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS ZWONOWICE | 29,6 ± 3,2 | 23–35 | 1% | 48% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS ZGODA ZAWADA KSIĄŻĘCA | 27,2 ± 2,9 | 21–32 | 0% | 24% | 0% |
| 5 | LKS RUDA KOZIELSKA | 27,2 ± 3,1 | 21–33 | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 6 | LKS OCICE RACIBÓRZ | 26,7 ± 2,8 | 21–32 | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS PAWŁÓW | 26,0 ± 3,1 | 20–32 | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 8 | MKS UNIA II RACIBÓRZ | 25,3 ± 3,1 | 19–31 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS WOJNOWICE | 20,5 ± 2,9 | 15–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS STAL KUŹNIA RACIBORSKA | 19,7 ± 3,2 | 14–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | KS PRZYSZŁOŚĆ II ROGÓW | 15,5 ± 2,7 | 12–22 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | KS KORNOWAC | 13,0 ± 2,9 | 7–19 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 13 | LKS PŁOMIEŃ KOBYLA | 12,1 ± 2,8 | 8–18 | 0% | 0% | 44% |
| 14 | LKS ZABEŁKÓW | 11,2 ± 3,1 | 6–18 | 0% | 0% | 53% |
| 15 | LKS NAPRZÓD 46 ZAWADA | 10,9 ± 2,7 | 7–16 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 16 | LKS CYPRZANÓW | 4,6 ± 2,3 | 2–10 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS 07 MARKOWICE | 96% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS GÓRNIK PSZÓW | – | 52% | 23% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS ZWONOWICE | – | 21% | 26% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS ZGODA ZAWADA KSIĄŻĘCA | – | 10% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS RUDA KOZIELSKA | – | 7% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS OCICE RACIBÓRZ | – | – | 9% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PAWŁÓW | – | – | 7% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 20% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS UNIA II RACIBÓRZ | – | – | – | 10% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS WOJNOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | 33% | 33% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STAL KUŹNIA RACIBORSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% | 25% | 36% | 13% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| KS PRZYSZŁOŚĆ II ROGÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 32% | 28% | 16% | – | – | – |
| KS KORNOWAC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 15% | – |
| LKS PŁOMIEŃ KOBYLA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 16% | – |
| LKS ZABEŁKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 15% | 18% | 21% | 29% | – |
| LKS NAPRZÓD 46 ZAWADA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 34% | – |
| LKS CYPRZANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 91% |