Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 77,1 pkt (od 64 do 89 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze TS PODBESKIDZIE BIELSKO-BIAŁA II (23%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: VICTORIA KOSMOS M-BET CZĘSTOCHOWA (100%), KS ROZWÓJ KATOWICE (70%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA | 77,1 ± 6,5 | 64–89 | 68% | 95% | 0% |
| 2 | TS PODBESKIDZIE BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 70,8 ± 7,0 | 56–84 | 23% | 80% | 0% |
| 3 | RUCH CHORZÓW II | 62,5 ± 6,8 | 49–75 | 3% | 35% | 0% |
| 4 | GKS GIEKSA KATOWICE II | 61,6 ± 7,0 | 48–75 | 3% | 30% | 0% |
| 5 | KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW | 61,6 ± 7,1 | 48–75 | 2% | 30% | 0% |
| 6 | MRKS CZECHOWICE-DZIEDZICE | 56,2 ± 7,3 | 42–71 | 1% | 11% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS PRZEMSZA SIEWIERZ | 54,9 ± 7,4 | 41–69 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 8 | SPÓJNIA LANDEK-JASIENICA | 52,1 ± 7,4 | 38–66 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 9 | KS POLONIA ŁAZISKA GÓRNE | 51,7 ± 7,1 | 38–66 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 10 | LKS DRAMA ZBROSŁAWICE | 48,4 ± 7,0 | 35–62 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 11 | KS DECOR BEŁK | 43,4 ± 7,2 | 30–58 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 12 | GKS SZOMBIERKI BYTOM | 42,5 ± 7,4 | 29–57 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | KS KUŹNIA USTROŃ | 40,0 ± 7,2 | 26–54 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 14 | LGKS 38 PODLESIANKA KATOWICE | 36,1 ± 6,8 | 24–50 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 15 | GKS PIAST GLIWICE II | 35,4 ± 7,0 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 16 | TS GWAREK TARNOWSKIE GÓRY | 31,6 ± 7,0 | 19–46 | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 17 | KS ROZWÓJ KATOWICE | 23,0 ± 6,5 | 12–38 | 0% | 0% | 70% |
| 18 | VICTORIA KOSMOS M-BET CZĘSTOCHOWA | 5,4 ± 3,8 | 0–14 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS UNIA TURZA ŚLĄSKA | 68% | 21% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS PODBESKIDZIE BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 23% | 39% | 18% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RUCH CHORZÓW II | – | 12% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GIEKSA KATOWICE II | – | 10% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW | – | 10% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MRKS CZECHOWICE-DZIEDZICE | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PRZEMSZA SIEWIERZ | – | – | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPÓJNIA LANDEK-JASIENICA | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS POLONIA ŁAZISKA GÓRNE | – | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS DRAMA ZBROSŁAWICE | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS DECOR BEŁK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – |
| GKS SZOMBIERKI BYTOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – |
| KS KUŹNIA USTROŃ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | – | – |
| LGKS 38 PODLESIANKA KATOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 17% | – | – |
| GKS PIAST GLIWICE II | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 5% | – |
| TS GWAREK TARNOWSKIE GÓRY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 17% | – |
| KS ROZWÓJ KATOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | 69% | – |
| VICTORIA KOSMOS M-BET CZĘSTOCHOWA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 99% |