Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE zostaje liderem po jesieni w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 35,8 pkt (od 30 do 40 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE | 35,8 ± 2,7 | 30–40 | 82% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS GIEKSA III KATOWICE S.A. | 30,3 ± 2,5 | 25–34 | 6% | 62% | 0% |
| 3 | UKS PRZEMSZA DĄBROWA GÓRNICZA | 29,6 ± 2,5 | 25–34 | 5% | 43% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS OSTOJA ŻELISŁAWICE | 28,8 ± 2,8 | 23–35 | 4% | 32% | 0% |
| 5 | KS NIWY BRUDZOWICE | 28,5 ± 2,7 | 23–33 | 2% | 29% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS SIEMIANOWICZANKA | 27,7 ± 2,9 | 22–33 | 1% | 27% | 0% |
| 7 | KP WARTA ZAWIERCIE | 26,5 ± 2,5 | 22–31 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 8 | KS STADION ŚLĄSKI CHORZÓW | 22,6 ± 3,2 | 17–29 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS UNIA KOSZTOWY | 20,9 ± 2,9 | 15–27 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS UNIA ZĄBKOWICE | 21,1 ± 3,0 | 16–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | TP JASTRZĄB BIELSZOWICE | 17,8 ± 2,8 | 13–23 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | LKS POGOŃ IMIELIN | 15,5 ± 2,5 | 12–21 | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 13 | KS CYKLON ROGOŹNIK | 13,4 ± 2,6 | 9–19 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| 14 | GKS WAWEL WIREK | 12,5 ± 2,6 | 8–18 | 0% | 0% | 56% |
| 15 | KS GÓRNIK SOSNOWIEC | 11,2 ± 2,5 | 7–17 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
| 16 | GKS URANIA RUDA ŚLĄSKA | 3,1 ± 2,2 | 1–8 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKS GÓRNIK WOJKOWICE | 82% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GIEKSA III KATOWICE S.A. | 6% | 35% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS PRZEMSZA DĄBROWA GÓRNICZA | 5% | 19% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS OSTOJA ŻELISŁAWICE | – | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 15% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS NIWY BRUDZOWICE | – | 10% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS SIEMIANOWICZANKA | – | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP WARTA ZAWIERCIE | – | – | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 23% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STADION ŚLĄSKI CHORZÓW | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 29% | 22% | 16% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS UNIA KOSZTOWY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17% | 29% | 28% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS UNIA ZĄBKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 16% | 25% | 26% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| TP JASTRZĄB BIELSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 15% | 34% | 18% | 12% | – | – | – |
| LKS POGOŃ IMIELIN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 34% | 25% | 11% | – | – |
| KS CYKLON ROGOŹNIK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 18% | 27% | 26% | 16% | – |
| GKS WAWEL WIREK | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 21% | 30% | 26% | – |
| KS GÓRNIK SOSNOWIEC | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 28% | 53% | – |
| GKS URANIA RUDA ŚLĄSKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 98% |