Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: ISKRA PSZCZYNA zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,6 pkt (od 59 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze ISKRA RYBARZOWICE (25%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LKS ŁĄKA (87%), LKS WILAMOWICZANKA (52%), ZET TYCHY (38%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 71,6 ± 5,9 | 59–82 | 64% | 95% | 0% |
| 2 | ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 66,5 ± 6,2 | 53–77 | 25% | 84% | 0% |
| 3 | FORTUNA WYRY | 60,6 ± 6,8 | 47–73 | 7% | 56% | 0% |
| 4 | ROTUZ BRONÓW | 56,1 ± 6,8 | 43–69 | 2% | 27% | 0% |
| 5 | OGRODNIK TYCHY | 54,0 ± 7,1 | 40–67 | 1% | 18% | 0% |
| 6 | KS BESTWINKA | 53,2 ± 7,4 | 38–66 | 1% | 16% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS WISŁA WIELKA | 48,0 ± 7,3 | 33–63 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | 39,6 ± 6,8 | 27–53 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 9 | GTS BOJSZOWY | 35,0 ± 6,8 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 10 | PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | 33,4 ± 7,2 | 20–48 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 11 | CZARNI JAWORZE | 32,0 ± 7,2 | 18–46 | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 12 | PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | 30,1 ± 6,8 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
| 13 | LKS BESTWINA | 28,7 ± 6,4 | 17–42 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 14 | ZET TYCHY | 29,1 ± 6,3 | 18–42 | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 15 | LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | 26,5 ± 6,5 | 15–40 | 0% | 0% | 52% |
| 16 | LKS ŁĄKA | 19,0 ± 6,3 | 8–32 | 0% | 0% | 87% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISKRA PSZCZYNA | 64% | 23% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ISKRA RYBARZOWICE | 25% | 40% | 18% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| FORTUNA WYRY | 7% | 18% | 30% | 19% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ROTUZ BRONÓW | – | 8% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| OGRODNIK TYCHY | – | – | 13% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS BESTWINKA | – | 5% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS WISŁA WIELKA | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 15% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JUWE TYCHY - JAROSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| GTS BOJSZOWY | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 6% | – | – |
| PODBESKIDZIE III BIELSKO-BIAŁA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 5% | – |
| CZARNI JAWORZE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | – |
| PIAST GOL BIERUŃ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 13% | – |
| LKS BESTWINA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 6% |
| ZET TYCHY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| LKS WILAMOWICZANKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 15% |
| LKS ŁĄKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 19% | 59% |