Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 72,9 pkt (od 61 do 83 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II (28%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE (100%), UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA (63%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 72,9 ± 5,6 | 61–83 | 69% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II | 69,0 ± 5,8 | 56–79 | 28% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS CZANIEC | 58,1 ± 6,8 | 45–71 | 3% | 51% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS START MSZANA | 52,4 ± 6,9 | 39–66 | 1% | 18% | 0% |
| 5 | TS STAL-ŚRUBIARNIA ŻYWIEC | 50,5 ± 6,7 | 37–63 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 6 | LKS TWORKÓW | 50,0 ± 6,7 | 37–63 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 7 | LKS TEMPO PUŃCÓW | 47,5 ± 7,0 | 34–61 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 8 | KP BESKID SKOCZÓW | 46,7 ± 6,7 | 33–59 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS BŁYSKAWICA DROGOMYŚL | 45,1 ± 6,8 | 32–58 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 10 | LKS FORTECA ŚWIERKLANY | 37,9 ± 7,0 | 25–52 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | GLKS NACOMI WILKOWICE | 33,6 ± 6,6 | 22–47 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 12 | LKS PASJONAT DANKOWICE | 33,2 ± 7,0 | 21–47 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 13 | MKS LĘDZINY | 32,0 ± 6,4 | 21–45 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 14 | BKS STAL BIELSKO - BIAŁA | 25,3 ± 6,1 | 15–38 | 0% | 0% | 24% |
| 15 | UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA | 20,4 ± 5,9 | 10–33 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
| 16 | GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE | 3,6 ± 3,0 | 0–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTS REKORD BIELSKO-BIAŁA II | 69% | 25% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS PANATTONI GOCZAŁKOWICE-ZDRÓJ II | 28% | 57% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS CZANIEC | – | 10% | 38% | 19% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS START MSZANA | – | – | 14% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS STAL-ŚRUBIARNIA ŻYWIEC | – | – | 10% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS TWORKÓW | – | – | 11% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS TEMPO PUŃCÓW | – | – | 5% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP BESKID SKOCZÓW | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS BŁYSKAWICA DROGOMYŚL | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS FORTECA ŚWIERKLANY | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – |
| GLKS NACOMI WILKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 19% | 8% | – | – |
| LKS PASJONAT DANKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 12% | – | – |
| MKS LĘDZINY | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 14% | – | – |
| BKS STAL BIELSKO - BIAŁA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 19% | 39% | 24% | – |
| UKS APN GÓRAL ISTEBNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 21% | 63% | – |
| GKS PNIÓWEK 74 PAWŁOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 99% |