Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Pogoń II Szczecin zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 76,1 pkt (od 63 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS Manowo (88%), Ina Elektrobim Ińsko (69%), Chemik Police (48%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogoń II Szczecin | 76,1 ± 5,7 | 63–85 | 94% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Świt II Szczecin | 59,3 ± 6,9 | 45–72 | 3% | 62% | 0% |
| 3 | Kotwica Kołobrzeg | 55,4 ± 7,2 | 41–69 | 1% | 39% | 0% |
| 4 | Arkonia Szczecin | 53,0 ± 7,2 | 39–66 | 1% | 27% | 0% |
| 5 | Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | 52,4 ± 7,4 | 37–67 | 1% | 24% | 0% |
| 6 | Gwardia Koszalin | 51,3 ± 7,3 | 37–66 | 0% | 19% | 0% |
| 7 | Biali Sądów | 49,0 ± 7,5 | 35–63 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 8 | Astra Ustronie Morskie | 47,2 ± 7,5 | 33–61 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 9 | Sparta Gryfice | 44,7 ± 7,3 | 31–59 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 10 | Dąb Dębno | 41,0 ± 7,3 | 27–55 | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| 11 | Iskierka Szczecin | 39,0 ± 7,8 | 25–55 | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 12 | Orzeł Wałcz | 25,5 ± 6,9 | 13–40 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| 13 | Chemik Police | 24,8 ± 6,5 | 13–39 | 0% | 0% | 48% |
| 14 | Pogoń Barlinek | 24,7 ± 6,8 | 12–39 | 0% | 0% | 48% |
| 15 | Ina Elektrobim Ińsko | 21,5 ± 5,8 | 12–34 | 0% | 0% | 69% |
| 16 | GKS Manowo | 17,3 ± 5,8 | 7–30 | 0% | 0% | 88% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń II Szczecin | 94% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Świt II Szczecin | – | 39% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kotwica Kołobrzeg | – | 17% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Arkonia Szczecin | – | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal | – | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gwardia Koszalin | – | 8% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Biali Sądów | – | – | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Astra Ustronie Morskie | – | – | 7% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sparta Gryfice | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – |
| Dąb Dębno | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 21% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| Iskierka Szczecin | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 13% | – | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Wałcz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 9% |
| Chemik Police | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 10% |
| Pogoń Barlinek | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 12% |
| Ina Elektrobim Ińsko | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| GKS Manowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 24% | 49% |