Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: Gryf Polanów zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 74,2 pkt (od 62 do 84 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze DARŁOVIA Darłowo (18%), WIEŻA POSTOMINO (13%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: LZS Kowalewice (64%), Vimobilia Będzino (59%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gryf Polanów | 74,2 ± 5,6 | 62–84 | 68% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | DARŁOVIA Darłowo | 67,7 ± 6,5 | 54–80 | 18% | 81% | 0% |
| 3 | WIEŻA POSTOMINO | 64,8 ± 6,6 | 51–77 | 13% | 70% | 0% |
| 4 | ZEFIR WYSZEWO | 54,9 ± 6,8 | 41–67 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 5 | Iskra Białogard | 54,9 ± 7,0 | 41–68 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 6 | Sokół Karlino | 54,6 ± 7,1 | 41–67 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 7 | Gwardia II Koszalin | 51,2 ± 6,7 | 38–64 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 8 | Victoria Sianów | 48,5 ± 7,4 | 34–63 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | Zawisza Grzmiąca | 44,0 ± 7,1 | 31–58 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 10 | Głaz Tychowo | 36,6 ± 7,0 | 24–51 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | Mechanik Bobolice | 28,0 ± 7,1 | 15–43 | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 12 | Sława Sławno | 27,5 ± 6,4 | 16–41 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 13 | Pogoń Połczyn Zdrój | 24,7 ± 5,8 | 14–37 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 14 | Pogoń Wierzchowo | 18,1 ± 6,5 | 6–32 | 0% | 0% | 52% |
| 15 | Vimobilia Będzino | 16,9 ± 6,2 | 6–30 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
| 16 | LZS Kowalewice | 16,1 ± 6,0 | 6–29 | 0% | 0% | 64% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gryf Polanów | 68% | 22% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| DARŁOVIA Darłowo | 18% | 40% | 23% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| WIEŻA POSTOMINO | 13% | 26% | 31% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZEFIR WYSZEWO | – | – | 10% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Białogard | – | – | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Karlino | – | – | 11% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Gwardia II Koszalin | – | – | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Victoria Sianów | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zawisza Grzmiąca | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 20% | 30% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Głaz Tychowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 38% | 18% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| Mechanik Bobolice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 5% | – |
| Sława Sławno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 24% | 25% | 18% | 11% | – | – |
| Pogoń Połczyn Zdrój | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14% | 23% | 27% | 18% | 8% | – |
| Pogoń Wierzchowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 20% | 27% | 24% |
| Vimobilia Będzino | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 20% | 28% | 31% |
| LZS Kowalewice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 19% | 26% | 37% |