Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: MEWA KUNICE zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 82,2 pkt (od 73 do 90 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA (13%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: ZRYW STARY ŁOM (92%), HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW (49%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MEWA KUNICE | 82,2 ± 4,4 | 73–90 | 85% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | 75,0 ± 5,0 | 64–84 | 13% | 97% | 0% |
| 3 | LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | 66,8 ± 5,5 | 55–76 | 1% | 70% | 0% |
| 4 | ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | 60,6 ± 6,3 | 47–72 | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 5 | RODŁO GRANOWICE | 56,1 ± 6,7 | 43–69 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 6 | BAZALT PIOTROWICE | 53,0 ± 6,8 | 39–65 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 7 | CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | 47,3 ± 6,4 | 35–60 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | 46,9 ± 6,7 | 34–60 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS LIPA | 40,4 ± 6,6 | 28–53 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | RATAJ PASZOWICE | 38,3 ± 7,1 | 25–52 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | 34,1 ± 6,1 | 23–46 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | PARK TARGOSZYN | 32,2 ± 5,9 | 22–44 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | WILKI RÓŻANA | 23,6 ± 5,6 | 14–35 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 14 | HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | 16,0 ± 5,4 | 7–28 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 15 | KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | 16,1 ± 4,5 | 8–26 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 16 | ZRYW STARY ŁOM | 7,8 ± 4,6 | 0–18 | 0% | 0% | 92% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEWA KUNICE | 85% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZAKACZAWIE LEGNICA | 13% | 71% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LEGSAD KOŚCIELEC | – | 12% | 57% | 20% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ ZAGRODNO | – | – | 17% | 40% | 21% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RODŁO GRANOWICE | – | – | 9% | 19% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BAZALT PIOTROWICE | – | – | – | 11% | 23% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CICHA WODA TYNIEC LEGNICKI | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| JAWORZANKA 1946 II JAWOR | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS LIPA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| RATAJ PASZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 12% | – | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK II ZŁOTORYJA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 21% | 29% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – |
| PARK TARGOSZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 24% | 34% | 13% | – | – | – |
| WILKI RÓŻANA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 48% | 18% | 8% | – |
| HURAGAN PROBOSZCZÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 34% | 37% | 12% |
| KACZAWA BIENIOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 38% | 39% | 10% |
| ZRYW STARY ŁOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 77% |