Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: GROM WITKÓW zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 75,7 pkt (od 63 do 86 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze KS WALIM (11%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH (89%), SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE (69%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GROM WITKÓW | 75,7 ± 5,8 | 63–86 | 78% | 98% | 0% |
| 2 | KS WALIM | 64,4 ± 6,9 | 50–78 | 11% | 67% | 0% |
| 3 | UNIA JAROSZÓW | 64,4 ± 6,9 | 51–76 | 7% | 67% | 0% |
| 4 | KP GÓRNIK II Wałbrzych | 58,5 ± 6,9 | 45–71 | 2% | 29% | 0% |
| 5 | SKALNIK CZARNY BÓR | 56,3 ± 7,1 | 42–69 | 1% | 21% | 0% |
| 6 | GWAREK WAŁBRZYCH | 52,2 ± 7,4 | 37–66 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 7 | KS STANOWICE | 51,3 ± 7,6 | 36–65 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 8 | BŁĘKITNI SŁOTWINA | 45,6 ± 7,3 | 31–60 | 0% | 2% | 0% |
| 9 | VICTORIA ŚWIEBODZICE | 41,1 ± 7,6 | 27–56 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | AKS BAZALT II STRZEGOM | 33,9 ± 7,9 | 19–50 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | CZARNI WAMAG WAŁBRZYCH | 33,5 ± 7,2 | 20–48 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 12 | KS SILESIA ŻARÓW | 32,5 ± 7,4 | 18–48 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 13 | NYSA KŁACZYNA | 29,1 ± 6,7 | 17–42 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 14 | ISKRA WITKÓW ŚLĄSKI | 21,0 ± 6,1 | 11–34 | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 15 | SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE | 16,3 ± 5,9 | 7–29 | 0% | 0% | 69% |
| 16 | PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH | 11,2 ± 5,4 | 2–23 | 0% | 0% | 89% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROM WITKÓW | 78% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS WALIM | 11% | 29% | 27% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UNIA JAROSZÓW | 7% | 34% | 25% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KP GÓRNIK II Wałbrzych | – | 10% | 16% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SKALNIK CZARNY BÓR | – | 7% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GWAREK WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | 6% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS STANOWICE | – | – | 6% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI SŁOTWINA | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 18% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| VICTORIA ŚWIEBODZICE | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 18% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| AKS BAZALT II STRZEGOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% | – | – | – |
| CZARNI WAMAG WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 6% | – | – |
| KS SILESIA ŻARÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 7% | – | – |
| NYSA KŁACZYNA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 14% | – | – |
| ISKRA WITKÓW ŚLĄSKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 15% | 40% | 23% | 8% |
| SUDETY DZIEĆMOROWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 20% | 44% | 25% |
| PODGÓRZE WAŁBRZYCH | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 23% | 66% |