Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: PIAST ŻMIGRÓD zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 77,6 pkt (od 65 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW (25%), LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW (17%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE (99%), IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA (96%), ISKRA KSIĘGINICE (84%), PIAST NOWA RUDA (74%), MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA (60%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIAST ŻMIGRÓD | 77,6 ± 5,6 | 65–87 | 56% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW | 73,6 ± 6,5 | 60–86 | 25% | 87% | 0% |
| 3 | LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW | 72,1 ± 6,5 | 59–84 | 17% | 85% | 0% |
| 4 | GÓRNIK ZŁOTORYJA | 58,7 ± 7,4 | 44–73 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 5 | GKS MIRKÓW-DŁUGOŁĘKA | 55,0 ± 7,2 | 40–68 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 6 | BŁYSKAWICA GAĆ | 54,0 ± 7,6 | 40–69 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 | MGKS MOTO - JELCZ OŁAWA | 54,1 ± 7,2 | 40–68 | 0% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 | POLONIA BIELANY WROCŁAWSKIE | 48,0 ± 7,5 | 34–64 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| 9 | CEMENT RACIBOROWICE | 48,1 ± 7,6 | 33–63 | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| 10 | ORZEŁ ZĄBKOWICE ŚLĄSKIE | 48,1 ± 7,5 | 34–63 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 11 | POLONIA ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | 46,0 ± 7,1 | 32–60 | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 12 | WKS WIERZBICE | 43,8 ± 7,1 | 31–58 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 13 | AKS BAZALT STRZEGOM | 38,4 ± 6,9 | 26–53 | 0% | 0% | 41% |
| 14 | MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA | 34,7 ± 6,8 | 22–48 | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| 15 | PIAST NOWA RUDA | 32,1 ± 6,9 | 19–46 | 0% | 0% | 74% |
| 16 | ISKRA KSIĘGINICE | 30,2 ± 6,4 | 19–44 | 0% | 0% | 84% |
| 17 | IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA | 23,8 ± 6,4 | 13–37 | 0% | 0% | 96% |
| 18 | PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE | 18,3 ± 6,1 | 8–31 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIAST ŻMIGRÓD | 56% | 28% | 13% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CHROBRY II GŁOGÓW | 25% | 36% | 26% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LECHIA DZIERŻONIÓW | 17% | 30% | 38% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK ZŁOTORYJA | – | – | 9% | 26% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS MIRKÓW-DŁUGOŁĘKA | – | – | – | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁYSKAWICA GAĆ | – | – | – | 13% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS MOTO - JELCZ OŁAWA | – | – | – | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA BIELANY WROCŁAWSKIE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| CEMENT RACIBOROWICE | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ ZĄBKOWICE ŚLĄSKIE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| POLONIA ŚRODA ŚLĄSKA | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| WKS WIERZBICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| AKS BAZALT STRZEGOM | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 13% | 8% | – | – |
| MKS ODRA ŚCINAWA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 14% | 7% | – |
| PIAST NOWA RUDA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 11% | – |
| ISKRA KSIĘGINICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 19% | 28% | 17% | – |
| IGNERHOME MKS POLONIA ŚWIDNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 17% | 41% | 24% |
| PROCHOWICZANKA PROCHOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 21% | 66% |