Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: RKS Radomsko zostaje liderem po jesieni w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 45,6 pkt (od 40 do 49 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKS Radomsko | 45,6 ± 2,5 | 40–49 | 94% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Buczek | 39,6 ± 2,4 | 35–45 | 6% | 99% | 0% |
| 3 | PKS Polonia Piotrków Trybunalski | 35,6 ± 2,5 | 31–39 | 0% | 85% | 0% |
| 4 | Zjednoczeni Stryków | 30,8 ± 2,7 | 26–37 | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 5 | MUKS Włókniarz Pabianice | 30,2 ± 2,7 | 25–36 | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 6 | AKS SMS ŁÓDŹ | 28,9 ± 2,7 | 24–35 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 7 | Sokół Aleksandrów | 27,0 ± 2,8 | 21–33 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | KS KUTNO | 24,0 ± 2,6 | 18–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | Stal Głowno | 23,3 ± 2,6 | 18–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | PGE GiEK GKS Bełchatów | 23,6 ± 2,5 | 19–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | ZRYW Wygoda | 21,3 ± 2,6 | 16–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | MKP Boruta Zgierz | 19,5 ± 2,7 | 14–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 13 | MKS Ceramika Opoczno | 19,0 ± 2,5 | 15–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 14 | Orzeł Parzęczew | 19,2 ± 2,6 | 15–25 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 15 | ŁKS III Łódź S.A. | 18,6 ± 2,4 | 15–24 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 16 | LKS EKOLOG WOJSŁAWICE | 11,8 ± 2,3 | 9–17 | 0% | 0% | 94% |
| 17 | Concordia 1909 Piotrków Tryb. | 6,8 ± 1,9 | 5–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 18 | LZS Justynów | 4,2 ± 2,4 | 1–10 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKS Radomsko | 94% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Buczek | 6% | 77% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PKS Polonia Piotrków Trybunalski | – | 16% | 69% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zjednoczeni Stryków | – | – | 6% | 34% | 26% | 19% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MUKS Włókniarz Pabianice | – | – | 6% | 24% | 31% | 21% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AKS SMS ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | 22% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Aleksandrów | – | – | – | 8% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS KUTNO | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% | 22% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stal Głowno | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PGE GiEK GKS Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZRYW Wygoda | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – |
| MKP Boruta Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 17% | – | – | – |
| MKS Ceramika Opoczno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 16% | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Parzęczew | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 21% | – | – | – |
| ŁKS III Łódź S.A. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 35% | – | – | – |
| LKS EKOLOG WOJSŁAWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 87% | 7% | – |
| Concordia 1909 Piotrków Tryb. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 73% | 21% |
| LZS Justynów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20% | 78% |