Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: RKS Radomsko zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 85,3 pkt (od 72 do 96 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Concordia 1909 Piotrków Tryb. (100%), LZS Justynów (99%), LKS EKOLOG WOJSŁAWICE (87%), ŁKS III Łódź S.A. (49%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKS Radomsko | 85,3 ± 6,1 | 72–96 | 89% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Buczek | 70,5 ± 7,7 | 55–85 | 8% | 75% | 0% |
| 3 | PKS Polonia Piotrków Trybunalski | 68,3 ± 7,1 | 54–81 | 3% | 69% | 0% |
| 4 | Zjednoczeni Stryków | 58,1 ± 7,3 | 45–73 | 0% | 15% | 0% |
| 5 | AKS SMS ŁÓDŹ | 57,9 ± 7,5 | 43–72 | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 6 | MUKS Włókniarz Pabianice | 57,1 ± 7,5 | 43–72 | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7 | Sokół Aleksandrów | 54,3 ± 7,7 | 39–69 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 8 | Stal Głowno | 51,6 ± 7,4 | 37–66 | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| 9 | PGE GiEK GKS Bełchatów | 47,8 ± 7,2 | 34–62 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 10 | ZRYW Wygoda | 47,0 ± 7,4 | 33–61 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 11 | KS KUTNO | 46,6 ± 7,3 | 33–61 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 12 | MKP Boruta Zgierz | 42,5 ± 7,4 | 28–57 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 13 | MKS Ceramika Opoczno | 41,3 ± 7,3 | 28–56 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 14 | Orzeł Parzęczew | 37,9 ± 7,3 | 25–54 | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 15 | ŁKS III Łódź S.A. | 34,2 ± 6,6 | 22–48 | 0% | 0% | 49% |
| 16 | LKS EKOLOG WOJSŁAWICE | 26,6 ± 6,5 | 15–40 | 0% | 0% | 87% |
| 17 | LZS Justynów | 16,5 ± 6,3 | 6–30 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
| 18 | Concordia 1909 Piotrków Tryb. | 15,4 ± 5,2 | 7–27 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 18 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKS Radomsko | 89% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Buczek | 8% | 43% | 25% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PKS Polonia Piotrków Trybunalski | – | 32% | 33% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zjednoczeni Stryków | – | 5% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AKS SMS ŁÓDŹ | – | – | 11% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MUKS Włókniarz Pabianice | – | – | 9% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Aleksandrów | – | – | 6% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Stal Głowno | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PGE GiEK GKS Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| ZRYW Wygoda | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| KS KUTNO | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – |
| MKP Boruta Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – |
| MKS Ceramika Opoczno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – |
| Orzeł Parzęczew | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 8% | – | – |
| ŁKS III Łódź S.A. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 21% | 31% | 16% | – | – |
| LKS EKOLOG WOJSŁAWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 19% | 50% | 16% | – |
| LZS Justynów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 42% | 43% |
| Concordia 1909 Piotrków Tryb. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 38% | 53% |