Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: PTC Pabianice zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 36,0 pkt (od 32 do 38 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PTC Pabianice | 36,0 ± 2,0 | 32–38 | 98% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | LKS Różyca | 28,2 ± 2,6 | 23–33 | 2% | 74% | 0% |
| 3 | GKS Ksawerów | 26,3 ± 2,2 | 22–29 | 0% | 55% | 0% |
| 4 | TME Zawisza Rzgów | 25,8 ± 2,7 | 20–31 | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 5 | Termy Poddębice | 25,5 ± 2,7 | 20–30 | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 6 | Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | 21,5 ± 2,4 | 17–25 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7 | Iskra Dobroń | 19,9 ± 2,7 | 15–25 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 8 | TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | 19,5 ± 2,6 | 15–25 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | 18,7 ± 2,7 | 14–24 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | MKP Boruta II Zgierz | 15,1 ± 2,4 | 11–20 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 11 | Włókniarz Zgierz | 14,8 ± 2,4 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 12 | KS ROSA ROSANÓW | 13,7 ± 2,4 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 13 | UKS Bzura Ozorków | 11,2 ± 2,8 | 7–17 | 0% | 0% | 67% |
| 14 | AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | 11,6 ± 1,7 | 10–16 | 0% | 0% | 80% |
| 15 | PSV ŁÓDŹ | 7,5 ± 2,5 | 4–13 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTC Pabianice | 98% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Różyca | – | 48% | 24% | 15% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Ksawerów | – | 22% | 34% | 22% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TME Zawisza Rzgów | – | 16% | 20% | 23% | 23% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Termy Poddębice | – | 13% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | – | – | – | 5% | 16% | 34% | 23% | 12% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Dobroń | – | – | – | – | 6% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 19% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – |
| TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 24% | 27% | 16% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| MKP Boruta II Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 9% | – | – |
| Włókniarz Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 8% | – | – |
| KS ROSA ROSANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 13% | 18% | 29% | 20% | 11% | – |
| UKS Bzura Ozorków | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 23% | 28% | 16% |
| AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 13% | 33% | 39% | 8% |
| PSV ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 75% |