Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: PTC Pabianice zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 70,3 pkt (od 58 do 78 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: PSV ŁÓDŹ (65%), AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ (50%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PTC Pabianice | 70,3 ± 5,3 | 58–78 | 93% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Ksawerów | 54,1 ± 6,2 | 42–65 | 2% | 62% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS Różyca | 53,3 ± 6,9 | 39–66 | 3% | 55% | 0% |
| 4 | TME Zawisza Rzgów | 50,0 ± 7,1 | 36–63 | 1% | 35% | 0% |
| 5 | Termy Poddębice | 49,4 ± 7,2 | 35–63 | 1% | 33% | 0% |
| 6 | Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | 43,8 ± 6,5 | 31–56 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 7 | TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | 40,2 ± 7,0 | 27–54 | 0% | 4% | 1% |
| 8 | Iskra Dobroń | 37,2 ± 6,9 | 24–51 | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 9 | KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | 35,0 ± 6,8 | 22–49 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 10 | MKP Boruta II Zgierz | 32,1 ± 6,8 | 19–46 | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| 11 | Włókniarz Zgierz | 32,1 ± 6,3 | 20–45 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 12 | UKS Bzura Ozorków | 25,6 ± 6,7 | 13–39 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 13 | KS ROSA ROSANÓW | 25,9 ± 6,3 | 15–39 | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 14 | AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | 23,0 ± 5,7 | 13–35 | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 15 | PSV ŁÓDŹ | 20,4 ± 6,3 | 9–33 | 0% | 0% | 65% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 15 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTC Pabianice | 93% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Ksawerów | – | 32% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Różyca | – | 28% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TME Zawisza Rzgów | – | 16% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Termy Poddębice | – | 14% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Łódzka Akademia Futbolu | – | – | 7% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TEOFILEK ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| Iskra Dobroń | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – |
| KAS KONSTANTYNÓW ŁÓDZKI | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | – |
| MKP Boruta II Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | – |
| Włókniarz Zgierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 5% | – |
| UKS Bzura Ozorków | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% |
| KS ROSA ROSANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 13% |
| AKS SMS II ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 21% | 26% | 24% |
| PSV ŁÓDŹ | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 43% |