Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: KS Wasilków zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 79,2 pkt (od 70 do 87 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: KS Śniadowo (100%), UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno (87%), SKS POMORZANKA Sejny (56%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS Wasilków | 79,2 ± 4,5 | 70–87 | 92% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | KS WARMIA Grajewo | 66,5 ± 5,7 | 55–77 | 5% | 85% | 0% |
| 3 | ŁKS II Łomża | 64,1 ± 5,7 | 52–75 | 3% | 75% | 0% |
| 4 | BKS TUR Bielsk Podlaski | 56,8 ± 6,1 | 44–68 | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 5 | UKS PIONIER Brańsk | 50,1 ± 6,6 | 37–63 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS RUCH Wysokie Mazowieckie | 48,9 ± 6,8 | 35–62 | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 7 | LUKS CZARNI Czarna Białostocka | 48,4 ± 6,5 | 36–61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 8 | MLKS WISSA Szczuczyn | 48,3 ± 6,5 | 36–62 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 9 | LKS PROMIEŃ Mońki | 48,0 ± 6,7 | 35–61 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 10 | KS HETMAN SKŁODOWSCY Tykocin | 46,0 ± 6,5 | 33–59 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 11 | KS Michałowo | 42,8 ± 6,6 | 30–55 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | MKS SUPRAŚLANKA Supraśl | 30,8 ± 6,2 | 19–44 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 13 | PW HOME LZS Krynki | 19,8 ± 4,8 | 12–30 | 0% | 0% | 54% |
| 14 | SKS POMORZANKA Sejny | 19,9 ± 5,3 | 10–31 | 0% | 0% | 56% |
| 15 | UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno | 14,2 ± 4,6 | 6–25 | 0% | 0% | 87% |
| 16 | KS Śniadowo | 6,7 ± 3,6 | 1–14 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KS Wasilków | 92% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS WARMIA Grajewo | – | 53% | 27% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŁKS II Łomża | – | 32% | 41% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BKS TUR Bielsk Podlaski | – | 6% | 16% | 31% | 18% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| UKS PIONIER Brańsk | – | – | – | 12% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS RUCH Wysokie Mazowieckie | – | – | – | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LUKS CZARNI Czarna Białostocka | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MLKS WISSA Szczuczyn | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS PROMIEŃ Mońki | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS HETMAN SKŁODOWSCY Tykocin | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Michałowo | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 27% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| MKS SUPRAŚLANKA Supraśl | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 65% | 12% | – | – | – |
| PW HOME LZS Krynki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 39% | 36% | 16% | – |
| SKS POMORZANKA Sejny | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 36% | 36% | 18% | – |
| UKS KRYPNIANKA Krypno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 23% | 54% | 11% |
| KS Śniadowo | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 86% |