Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: BYTOMSKI SPORT II POLONIA BYTOM zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 67,7 pkt (od 52 do 81 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze KS MOSiR SPARTA ZABRZE (10%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: GKS WALKA ZABRZE (100%), LKS TEMPO PANIÓWKI (98%), KS CARBO GLIWICE (88%), KS SOŚNICA GLIWICE (78%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BYTOMSKI SPORT II POLONIA BYTOM | 67,7 ± 7,4 | 52–81 | 59% | 85% | 0% |
| 2 | KS MOSiR SPARTA ZABRZE | 57,6 ± 7,8 | 42–72 | 10% | 40% | 0% |
| 3 | LKS VICTORIA PILCHOWICE | 56,1 ± 7,4 | 41–70 | 6% | 32% | 0% |
| 4 | TS TARNOWICZANKA | 55,8 ± 7,4 | 42–70 | 5% | 29% | 0% |
| 5 | ŁTS ŁABĘDY | 54,9 ± 7,7 | 39–69 | 5% | 29% | 0% |
| 6 | KS ORZEŁ BIAŁY PIEKARY ŚLĄSKIE | 55,1 ± 8,2 | 39–71 | 7% | 28% | 1% |
| 7 | MKS CONCORDIA KNURÓW | 52,1 ± 7,9 | 38–68 | 4% | 18% | 1% |
| 8 | KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW II | 50,6 ± 8,4 | 35–67 | 2% | 14% | 3% |
| 9 | KS BURZA BOROWA WIEŚ | 50,5 ± 7,5 | 37–66 | 1% | 11% | 1% |
| 10 | KS SILESIA MIECHOWICE | 47,6 ± 7,2 | 35–62 | 1% | 6% | 2% |
| 11 | KS GÓRNIK BOBROWNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | 47,1 ± 7,6 | 32–61 | 0% | 5% | 4% |
| 12 | UKS UNIA STRZYBNICA | 44,6 ± 7,6 | 30–60 | 0% | 3% | 7% |
| 13 | LKS OLIMPIA BORUSZOWICE | 40,1 ± 7,2 | 27–54 | 0% | 1% | 16% |
| 14 | KS SOŚNICA GLIWICE | 28,7 ± 7,7 | 15–44 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| 15 | KS CARBO GLIWICE | 26,8 ± 7,0 | 15–41 | 0% | 0% | 88% |
| 16 | LKS TEMPO PANIÓWKI | 18,3 ± 6,3 | 8–32 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
| 17 | GKS WALKA ZABRZE | 12,6 ± 5,9 | 3–26 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 17 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYTOMSKI SPORT II POLONIA BYTOM | 59% | 18% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS MOSiR SPARTA ZABRZE | 10% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS VICTORIA PILCHOWICE | 6% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS TARNOWICZANKA | – | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ŁTS ŁABĘDY | 5% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS ORZEŁ BIAŁY PIEKARY ŚLĄSKIE | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS CONCORDIA KNURÓW | – | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS RUCH RADZIONKÓW II | – | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS BURZA BOROWA WIEŚ | – | – | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS SILESIA MIECHOWICE | – | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – | – |
| KS GÓRNIK BOBROWNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 11% | 9% | – | – | – | – |
| UKS UNIA STRZYBNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – |
| LKS OLIMPIA BORUSZOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 28% | 13% | – | – | – |
| KS SOŚNICA GLIWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 33% | 30% | 13% | – |
| KS CARBO GLIWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 29% | 40% | 16% | – |
| LKS TEMPO PANIÓWKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 19% | 47% | 26% |
| GKS WALKA ZABRZE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 23% | 69% |