Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: ŁYSICA Bodzentyn zostaje mistrzem w 4 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 62,2 pkt (od 48 do 74 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów (29%), MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce (20%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów (100%), KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław (92%), ZENIT Chmielnik (91%), KAMIENNA Brody (35%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ŁYSICA Bodzentyn | 62,2 ± 6,5 | 48–74 | 36% | 78% | 0% |
| 2 | TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów | 61,0 ± 7,2 | 47–74 | 29% | 69% | 0% |
| 3 | MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce | 59,1 ± 7,1 | 44–73 | 20% | 59% | 0% |
| 4 | GKS GÓRAL Górno | 54,0 ± 7,3 | 40–68 | 6% | 30% | 0% |
| 5 | MSS KLONÓWKA Masłów | 52,6 ± 7,5 | 38–66 | 5% | 26% | 0% |
| 6 | MKS UNIA Sędziszów | 50,2 ± 7,3 | 36–64 | 3% | 17% | 0% |
| 7 | LECHIA Strawczyn | 49,2 ± 7,5 | 34–63 | 2% | 13% | 1% |
| 8 | GKS 4 ECO ASTRA Piekoszów | 44,7 ± 7,0 | 32–59 | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| 9 | MKS STAR II Starachowice | 41,8 ± 7,5 | 27–57 | 0% | 3% | 6% |
| 10 | LZS Samborzec | 38,8 ± 7,2 | 25–52 | 0% | 1% | 15% |
| 11 | SKS WISŁA Sandomierz | 35,2 ± 6,9 | 23–49 | 0% | 0% | 26% |
| 12 | MKS OLIMPIA-POGOŃ Staszów | 34,1 ± 7,0 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 31% |
| 13 | KAMIENNA Brody | 33,6 ± 7,5 | 19–49 | 0% | 0% | 35% |
| 14 | KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław | 22,0 ± 6,2 | 11–35 | 0% | 0% | 92% |
| 15 | ZENIT Chmielnik | 21,5 ± 6,5 | 10–36 | 0% | 0% | 91% |
| 16 | SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów | 12,6 ± 5,2 | 4–24 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ŁYSICA Bodzentyn | 36% | 25% | 17% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS 1946 NIDA Pińczów | 29% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS PARTYZANT Radoszyce | 20% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS GÓRAL Górno | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MSS KLONÓWKA Masłów | 5% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS UNIA Sędziszów | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LECHIA Strawczyn | – | – | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS 4 ECO ASTRA Piekoszów | – | – | – | 5% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS STAR II Starachowice | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Samborzec | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 10% | – | – | – |
| SKS WISŁA Sandomierz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 7% | – | – |
| MKS OLIMPIA-POGOŃ Staszów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 9% | – | – |
| KAMIENNA Brody | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 9% | – | – |
| KS PARTYZANT Wodzisław | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 34% | 36% | 9% |
| ZENIT Chmielnik | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 30% | 39% | 11% |
| SRKiS VICTORIA Mniów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | 78% |