Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: UNIA Dolice zostaje liderem po jesieni w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 39,3 pkt (od 36 do 41 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNIA Dolice | 39,3 ± 1,7 | 36–41 | 93% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | Kluczevia II Stargard | 35,0 ± 2,8 | 29–40 | 5% | 81% | 0% |
| 3 | Zorza Dobrzany | 33,8 ± 2,8 | 28–38 | 1% | 67% | 0% |
| 4 | BŁĘKITNI II Stargard | 32,2 ± 2,5 | 27–36 | 0% | 51% | 0% |
| 5 | Sokół Pyrzyce | 26,1 ± 3,0 | 20–31 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 6 | KLON Krzęcin | 22,6 ± 3,2 | 17–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7 | CALISIA Kalisz Pomorski | 22,6 ± 3,2 | 17–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | BŁĘKITNI Pomierzyn | 20,2 ± 3,1 | 15–26 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | MECHANIK Warnice | 18,7 ± 2,9 | 13–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | Rolpol Chlebowo | 18,7 ± 3,0 | 13–24 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 11 | Kłos Pełczyce | 17,0 ± 2,9 | 11–22 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 12 | Ina Recz | 17,2 ± 2,6 | 13–22 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 13 | DĄBROVIA Stara Dąbrowa | 16,4 ± 2,9 | 12–23 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 14 | Olimp Złocieniec | 10,4 ± 2,8 | 5–17 | 0% | 0% | 83% |
| 15 | Piast Karsko | 6,8 ± 2,6 | 3–12 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
| 16 | Piast Chociwel | 5,1 ± 2,3 | 2–11 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIA Dolice | 93% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kluczevia II Stargard | 5% | 47% | 28% | 17% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zorza Dobrzany | – | 35% | 31% | 29% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI II Stargard | – | 11% | 39% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Pyrzyce | – | – | – | 6% | 55% | 22% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KLON Krzęcin | – | – | – | – | 14% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CALISIA Kalisz Pomorski | – | – | – | – | 14% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI Pomierzyn | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| MECHANIK Warnice | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | – | – | – |
| Rolpol Chlebowo | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – |
| Kłos Pełczyce | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 7% | – | – |
| Ina Recz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 16% | – | – | – |
| DĄBROVIA Stara Dąbrowa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 14% | 19% | 34% | 7% | – | – |
| Olimp Złocieniec | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 59% | 18% | 6% |
| Piast Karsko | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17% | 50% | 31% |
| Piast Chociwel | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 31% | 63% |