Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: UNIA Dolice zostaje mistrzem w 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 78,4 pkt (od 68 do 86 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: Piast Chociwel (98%), Piast Karsko (93%), Olimp Złocieniec (78%), Ina Recz (36%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNIA Dolice | 78,4 ± 4,5 | 68–86 | 85% | 99% | 0% |
| 2 | Zorza Dobrzany | 66,1 ± 6,4 | 53–77 | 5% | 70% | 0% |
| 3 | Kluczevia II Stargard | 65,6 ± 7,0 | 51–78 | 5% | 64% | 0% |
| 4 | BŁĘKITNI II Stargard | 64,8 ± 6,2 | 52–76 | 5% | 63% | 0% |
| 5 | Sokół Pyrzyce | 49,7 ± 7,4 | 36–64 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 6 | KLON Krzęcin | 43,8 ± 7,3 | 30–58 | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| 7 | CALISIA Kalisz Pomorski | 41,1 ± 7,1 | 28–56 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 8 | MECHANIK Warnice | 39,7 ± 7,2 | 26–54 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 9 | BŁĘKITNI Pomierzyn | 38,8 ± 7,1 | 25–53 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 10 | Rolpol Chlebowo | 37,3 ± 7,4 | 23–52 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 11 | Kłos Pełczyce | 35,5 ± 7,1 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 21% |
| 12 | DĄBROVIA Stara Dąbrowa | 33,1 ± 7,2 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 32% |
| 13 | Ina Recz | 32,2 ± 7,0 | 20–47 | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 14 | Olimp Złocieniec | 24,5 ± 6,9 | 12–38 | 0% | 0% | 78% |
| 15 | Piast Karsko | 18,7 ± 6,3 | 8–32 | 0% | 0% | 93% |
| 16 | Piast Chociwel | 15,4 ± 6,0 | 5–28 | 0% | 0% | 98% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNIA Dolice | 85% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Zorza Dobrzany | – | 34% | 30% | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Kluczevia II Stargard | 5% | 29% | 29% | 28% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI II Stargard | – | 24% | 34% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Sokół Pyrzyce | – | – | – | 9% | 39% | 19% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KLON Krzęcin | – | – | – | – | 15% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| CALISIA Kalisz Pomorski | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| MECHANIK Warnice | – | – | – | – | 7% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | – | – | – | – |
| BŁĘKITNI Pomierzyn | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 7% | – | – | – |
| Rolpol Chlebowo | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | – | – | – |
| Kłos Pełczyce | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | – | – |
| DĄBROVIA Stara Dąbrowa | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 11% | – | – |
| Ina Recz | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 12% | – | – |
| Olimp Złocieniec | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 31% | 20% | 11% |
| Piast Karsko | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 18% | 40% | 29% |
| Piast Chociwel | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 27% | 57% |