Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS KRZYŻANOWICE zostaje mistrzem w 7 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 76,2 pkt (od 64 do 85 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE (14%), 1 KS ŚLĘZA II WROCŁAW (10%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: SPARTA WROCŁAW (100%), PLON GĄDKOWICE (88%), LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA (80%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS KRZYŻANOWICE | 76,2 ± 5,5 | 64–85 | 70% | 97% | 0% |
| 2 | BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | 67,7 ± 6,2 | 55–79 | 14% | 71% | 0% |
| 3 | 1 KS ŚLĘZA II WROCŁAW | 67,6 ± 6,3 | 54–79 | 10% | 71% | 0% |
| 4 | BARYCZ MILICZ | 63,4 ± 7,1 | 49–76 | 5% | 43% | 0% |
| 5 | MKP WRATISLAVIA | 57,2 ± 7,1 | 44–71 | 1% | 15% | 0% |
| 6 | VAMOS WROCŁAW | 50,4 ± 6,8 | 37–64 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 7 | WIWA GOSZCZ | 40,3 ± 7,1 | 27–54 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 8 | PIAST III ŻMIGRÓD | 40,4 ± 6,9 | 27–54 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 9 | DOLPASZ SKOKOWA | 40,2 ± 6,7 | 28–54 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 10 | ORZEŁ PRUSICE | 38,8 ± 7,0 | 26–53 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | GKS POLONIA II TRZEBNICA | 37,3 ± 7,0 | 24–51 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 12 | SPARTA WSZEMIRÓW | 36,8 ± 6,8 | 24–51 | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 13 | Pogoń CIESZKÓW | 30,7 ± 6,4 | 19–44 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 14 | LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA | 21,8 ± 5,4 | 12–34 | 0% | 0% | 80% |
| 15 | PLON GĄDKOWICE | 19,7 ± 5,5 | 11–32 | 0% | 0% | 88% |
| 16 | SPARTA WROCŁAW | 0,9 ± 1,5 | 0–4 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS KRZYŻANOWICE | 70% | 20% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BÓR OBORNIKI ŚLĄSKIE | 14% | 28% | 30% | 19% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 KS ŚLĘZA II WROCŁAW | 10% | 30% | 30% | 19% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| BARYCZ MILICZ | – | 18% | 21% | 30% | 18% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKP WRATISLAVIA | – | – | 10% | 21% | 35% | 18% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| VAMOS WROCŁAW | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | 34% | 18% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| WIWA GOSZCZ | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% | – | – | – |
| PIAST III ŻMIGRÓD | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | – | – | – | – |
| DOLPASZ SKOKOWA | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – |
| ORZEŁ PRUSICE | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 8% | – | – | – |
| GKS POLONIA II TRZEBNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 10% | – | – | – |
| SPARTA WSZEMIRÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 11% | – | – | – |
| Pogoń CIESZKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 18% | 35% | 12% | – | – |
| LOTNIK TWARDOGÓRA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | 44% | 36% | – |
| PLON GĄDKOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 30% | 57% | – |
| SPARTA WROCŁAW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 100% |