Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR zostaje mistrzem w 6 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 71,5 pkt (od 58 do 82 w 95% przebiegów). Realne szanse na tytuł mają jeszcze SPARTA GRĘBOCICE (20%). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: POGOŃ GÓRA (96%), KONFEKS LEGNICA (76%), KS MĘCINKA (72%), STAL CHOCIANÓW (54%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR | 71,5 ± 6,3 | 58–82 | 62% | 92% | 0% |
| 2 | SPARTA GRĘBOCICE | 65,3 ± 6,8 | 51–78 | 20% | 71% | 0% |
| 3 | GÓRNIK II POLKOWICE | 62,1 ± 6,5 | 48–74 | 8% | 53% | 0% |
| 4 | ISKRA KOCHLICE | 60,2 ± 6,8 | 46–72 | 4% | 41% | 0% |
| 5 | SPARTA RUDNA | 59,7 ± 6,9 | 44–72 | 5% | 38% | 0% |
| 6 | CHOJNOWIANKA CHOJNÓW | 46,1 ± 7,3 | 32–61 | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| 7 | SOKÓŁ JERZMANOWA | 43,0 ± 7,6 | 29–58 | 0% | 2% | 3% |
| 8 | GWARDIA BIAŁOŁĘKA | 41,8 ± 7,5 | 27–57 | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| 9 | UNIPLAN ENERGY ZRYW KŁĘBANOWICE | 35,9 ± 7,5 | 22–51 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 10 | WILKOWIANKA WILKÓW | 36,1 ± 7,1 | 23–50 | 0% | 0% | 16% |
| 11 | UNIA SZKLARY GÓRNE | 34,5 ± 6,9 | 22–49 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 12 | LZS KOMORNIKI | 30,2 ± 6,9 | 18–44 | 0% | 0% | 42% |
| 13 | STAL CHOCIANÓW | 28,2 ± 6,6 | 16–42 | 0% | 0% | 54% |
| 14 | KS MĘCINKA | 24,8 ± 6,4 | 13–38 | 0% | 0% | 72% |
| 15 | KONFEKS LEGNICA | 24,0 ± 6,9 | 11–39 | 0% | 0% | 76% |
| 16 | POGOŃ GÓRA | 16,7 ± 5,9 | 7–30 | 0% | 0% | 96% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAWORZANKA 1946 JAWOR | 62% | 20% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPARTA GRĘBOCICE | 20% | 30% | 21% | 16% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GÓRNIK II POLKOWICE | 8% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ISKRA KOCHLICE | – | 16% | 22% | 25% | 22% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SPARTA RUDNA | 5% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 24% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| CHOJNOWIANKA CHOJNÓW | – | – | – | – | 9% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| SOKÓŁ JERZMANOWA | – | – | – | – | 6% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| GWARDIA BIAŁOŁĘKA | – | – | – | – | 5% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – |
| UNIPLAN ENERGY ZRYW KŁĘBANOWICE | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | – | – | – |
| WILKOWIANKA WILKÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 5% | – | – |
| UNIA SZKLARY GÓRNE | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 6% | – | – |
| LZS KOMORNIKI | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 10% | – |
| STAL CHOCIANÓW | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 6% |
| KS MĘCINKA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 11% |
| KONFEKS LEGNICA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 27% | 15% |
| POGOŃ GÓRA | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 19% | 64% |