Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: LKS Omega Kleszczów zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 42,7 pkt (od 38 do 45 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Omega Kleszczów | 42,7 ± 2,1 | 38–45 | 97% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | MUKS Stal Niewiadów | 34,8 ± 1,8 | 31–37 | 0% | 95% | 0% |
| 3 | ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | 35,3 ± 2,4 | 31–40 | 3% | 96% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS Polonia Gorzędów | 30,0 ± 2,6 | 25–35 | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 5 | PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | 24,6 ± 2,5 | 19–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 6 | MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | 24,5 ± 2,7 | 19–29 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 7 | LZS Świt Kamieńsk | 25,0 ± 2,4 | 22–31 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 8 | MGKS Drzewica | 23,9 ± 2,6 | 19–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | 23,9 ± 2,2 | 20–28 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | 19,1 ± 2,8 | 14–24 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | 17,3 ± 2,1 | 15–22 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 12 | KS Ceramika II Opoczno | 15,1 ± 2,5 | 12–21 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 13 | GUKS Gorzkowice | 14,9 ± 2,6 | 10–20 | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 14 | LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | 7,8 ± 2,2 | 4–13 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
| 15 | LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | 5,0 ± 2,0 | 2–8 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 16 | ESPN Bełchatów | 3,5 ± 2,5 | 0–9 | 0% | 0% | 100% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Omega Kleszczów | 97% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MUKS Stal Niewiadów | – | 52% | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | – | 44% | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Polonia Gorzędów | – | – | 8% | 72% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | 28% | 22% | 16% | 14% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | – | – | – | 5% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Świt Kamieńsk | – | – | – | 7% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 20% | 20% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Drzewica | – | – | – | – | 12% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | – | – | – | – | 9% | 16% | 21% | 26% | 21% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 11% | 42% | 19% | 10% | 5% | – | – | – |
| GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16% | 41% | 28% | 10% | – | – | – |
| KS Ceramika II Opoczno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | 19% | 33% | 38% | – | – | – |
| GUKS Gorzkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 16% | 27% | 46% | – | – | – |
| LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 63% | 27% | 10% |
| LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 46% | 29% |
| ESPN Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 27% | 61% |