Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji reszty sezonu: LKS Omega Kleszczów zostaje mistrzem w 8 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 80,1 pkt (od 69 do 88 w 95% przebiegów). Najbardziej zagrożone spadkiem: ESPN Bełchatów (97%), LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska (96%), LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka (93%).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec sezonu
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów sezonu.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(mistrz) | P(top 3) | P(spadek) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Omega Kleszczów | 80,1 ± 4,9 | 69–88 | 83% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | MUKS Stal Niewiadów | 70,8 ± 5,1 | 60–80 | 8% | 94% | 0% |
| 3 | ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | 69,1 ± 5,6 | 58–80 | 9% | 89% | 0% |
| 4 | LKS Polonia Gorzędów | 57,0 ± 6,5 | 45–69 | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 5 | PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | 53,7 ± 6,4 | 41–65 | 0% | 3% | 0% |
| 6 | MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | 50,1 ± 6,6 | 36–62 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 7 | MGKS Drzewica | 46,7 ± 6,6 | 34–59 | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| 8 | TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | 44,5 ± 6,5 | 32–58 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | LZS Świt Kamieńsk | 44,2 ± 6,3 | 33–57 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | 40,0 ± 6,7 | 27–54 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 11 | GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | 31,7 ± 6,2 | 21–45 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 12 | KS Ceramika II Opoczno | 31,7 ± 6,6 | 20–46 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 13 | GUKS Gorzkowice | 31,3 ± 6,5 | 20–44 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 14 | LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | 15,5 ± 5,2 | 7–26 | 0% | 0% | 93% |
| 15 | LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | 13,1 ± 5,2 | 4–24 | 0% | 0% | 96% |
| 16 | ESPN Bełchatów | 11,3 ± 5,4 | 2–24 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy sezon na danym miejscu. 1 = mistrz, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LKS Omega Kleszczów | 83% | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MUKS Stal Niewiadów | 8% | 51% | 35% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| ZKS Włókniarz Zelów | 9% | 33% | 48% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| LKS Polonia Gorzędów | – | – | 10% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| PGE GiEK GKS II Bełchatów | – | – | – | 23% | 30% | 19% | 11% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Skalnik Sulejów | – | – | – | 12% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MGKS Drzewica | – | – | – | – | 11% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| TS Szczerbiec Wolbórz | – | – | – | – | 6% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| LZS Świt Kamieńsk | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Lechia 1923 II Tomaszów Maz. | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 16% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| GLKS Włókniarz Moszczenica | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | 10% | 21% | 28% | 27% | – | – | – |
| KS Ceramika II Opoczno | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | 22% | 27% | 26% | – | – | – |
| GUKS Gorzkowice | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 10% | 19% | 26% | 29% | – | – | – |
| LKS Piast Gmina Lgota Wielka | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 42% | 32% | 20% |
| LKS Wolanka Wola Krzysztoporska | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 27% | 37% | 32% |
| ESPN Bełchatów | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | 30% | 48% |