Na podstawie 2 000 symulacji rundy jesiennej: MLKS Józefovia zostaje liderem po jesieni w ponad 9 na 10 symulacji i zdobywa średnio 41,5 pkt (od 37 do 43 w 95% przebiegów).
Prognoza tabeli na koniec rundy jesiennej
Na podstawie 2000 symulacji pozostałych meczów opublikowanego terminarza jesieni.
| # | Drużyna | Pkt śr ± sd | 95% przedział | P(lider po jesieni) | P(top 3) | P(ostatnia trójka) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLKS Józefovia | 41,5 ± 1,8 | 37–43 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
| 2 | GKS Wilga Garwolin | 30,0 ± 2,7 | 25–34 | 0% | 78% | 0% |
| 3 | RKS Ursus II W-wa | 28,4 ± 2,6 | 23–33 | 0% | 51% | 0% |
| 4 | AP ŻYRARDOWIANKA | 27,3 ± 2,4 | 22–33 | 0% | 36% | 0% |
| 5 | MKS Pilica Białobrzegi | 26,9 ± 2,8 | 21–33 | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 6 | KS Powiślanka Lipsko | 24,3 ± 2,8 | 19–29 | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 7 | RADOMIAK II RADOM | 23,5 ± 3,0 | 18–30 | 0% | 5% | 0% |
| 8 | STF CHAMPION | 20,6 ± 2,3 | 16–24 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 9 | GKS Drogowiec Jedlińsk | 20,4 ± 2,5 | 16–25 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 10 | GKS TYGRYS HUTA MIŃSKA | 19,4 ± 2,7 | 14–25 | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| 11 | GKS Jodła Jedlnia-Let. | 18,1 ± 3,0 | 13–24 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 12 | KPS Food KS Proch Pionki | 15,0 ± 2,6 | 11–21 | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 13 | LKS WEKTRA ZBUCZYN | 14,1 ± 2,5 | 10–19 | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 14 | LKS Chlebnia | 12,9 ± 2,6 | 9–18 | 0% | 0% | 62% |
| 15 | MKP Pogoń II Siedlce | 11,6 ± 2,5 | 8–17 | 0% | 0% | 81% |
| 16 | LKS Perła Złotokłos | 10,2 ± 2,1 | 8–15 | 0% | 0% | 93% |
Heatmapa pozycji
Jak często drużyna kończy jesień na danym miejscu. 1 = lider, 16 = ostatnie miejsce.
| Drużyna | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLKS Józefovia | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Wilga Garwolin | – | 54% | 24% | 12% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RKS Ursus II W-wa | – | 21% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| AP ŻYRARDOWIANKA | – | 12% | 23% | 24% | 23% | 12% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| MKS Pilica Białobrzegi | – | 7% | 14% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| KS Powiślanka Lipsko | – | – | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| RADOMIAK II RADOM | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| STF CHAMPION | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 15% | 24% | 21% | 18% | 9% | – | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Drogowiec Jedlińsk | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 6% | – | – | – | – |
| GKS TYGRYS HUTA MIŃSKA | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | – | – | – | – |
| GKS Jodła Jedlnia-Let. | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 13% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 8% | – | – | – |
| KPS Food KS Proch Pionki | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 14% | 26% | 25% | 15% | 6% | – |
| LKS WEKTRA ZBUCZYN | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 22% | 26% | 19% | 11% | – |
| LKS Chlebnia | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 12% | 18% | 28% | 23% | 11% |
| MKP Pogoń II Siedlce | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 10% | 19% | 32% | 30% |
| LKS Perła Złotokłos | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | 27% | 55% |